Trucking Industry Lag Continues

Here is a Truck Driving Related Article from the Associated Press that ran today, 05/15/2009.

Here is the complete article that was written by Samantha Bomkamp:

Basically Trucks carry almost all of the manufactured and retail goods in the country — from refrigerators to lumber, detergents to toys. Many economists gauge how fast assembly lines are running, and how much consumers are buying, by the volume of goods hauled by trucks. But the most recent earnings reports show trucks are not carrying enough yet to
indicate recovery is near.

Slow consumer spending and stalled manufacturing activity took its toll on truckers in the first three months of the year. Nearly all major trucking companies reported lower first-quarter revenue and falling profits as shipping demand slid. Many cut back their fleets.

In the first quarter of 2009, about 480 trucking companies went under.
That’s less than 1 percent of the nation’s total freight capacity,
which still leaves too many trucks competing for fewer shipments,
according to analyst Donald Broughton of investment bank Avondale
Partners. More than 3,000 trucking companies went out of business last
year — taking seven of every 100 trucks off the road.

Analysts think the number of trucks on U.S. highways will continue to
slide until supply is more aligned with demand. When business starts to
pick up again, they say, other economic factors — from the employment
rate to the gross domestic product — will eventually follow.

Tavio Headley, an economist with the American Trucking Association, believes business will pick up as early as next quarter. Some data may indicate the nation’s economic tailspin is beginning to level off. The Institute for Supply Management said this month that
manufacturing activity contracted at a slower-than-expected pace in
April, as orders to factories rose.

The government also said the gross domestic product contracted at an annual rate of 6.1 percent during the first three months of the year. But the numbers also showed a rise in consumer spending and a decline in inventories, which suggests manufacturers and retailers may have to increase orders soon.

But “soon” doesn’t seem soon enough for the trucking industry. The ATA’s Headley said that although inventories are falling, sales are dropping at an even steeper rate, which is wiping out any benefit for the industry.

Trucking companies usually see shipments increase in number and weight three months to a year before the broader economy picks up, as retailers restock and manufacturers ramp up.

In the recession in 2001, freight shipments improved a full year before the broader economy.
But there is no sign of that yet in the current recession. The ATA said shipments fell 4.5 percent in March, erasing gains that made the industry cautiously optimistic in the two previous months.

Lower fuel prices aren’t necessarily helping the industry either. Less costly fuel has made it easier for struggling companies to stay afloat— good for them, but bad for the industry overall because competition remains fierce. So truckers must cut their prices to hold on to
business.

“It doesn’t matter what fuel costs are if you’re not moving your truck
to fill it with something,” said Chuck Clowdis, an analyst with IHS
Global Insight.

The article mentions that the trucking industry may be a sort of barometer of the overall broader economy. ” Trucking companies usually see shipments increase in number and weight
three months to a year before the broader economy picks up”, as
retailers restock and manufacturers ramp up”. Truck Driving Schools and trucking companies may hold off their recruiting efforts until they see a change. CR England on the other hand is not. Cr England is currently hiring Experienced Drivers and looking for qualified Truck Driving School applicants. CR England is the nations largest refrigerated carrier.

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